-19 Club Brugge0-1Leverkusen +19
-11 Leverkusen1-1Club Brugge +11
Simulate the season
Paris Saint-Germain win the Champions League in 22% of 200 simulated seasons.
| # | Club | Δ ELO | ELO | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Avg finish | Top 8 | Top 24 | Avg opp. ELO | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | How far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 2,089 | 8 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 18.6 | 6.2 | +12 | 17.7 | 6.2 | 76.0% | 98.5% | 1,844 | 19%11%16%21% | |||||||||
| 2 |  | 2,057 | 8 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 19.8 | 6.5 | +13 | 17.6 | 6.2 | 75.5% | 97.5% | 1,823 | 12%13%16%26% | |||||||||
| 3 |  | 2,077 | 8 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 16 | 7.4 | +9 | 16.3 | 8.8 | 61.5% | 95.5% | 1,905 | 22%10%15%15% | |||||||||
| 4 |  | 1,999 | 8 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 15.9 | 7.9 | +8 | 15.4 | 9.6 | 49.0% | 96.0% | 1,842 | 16%27% | |||||||||
| 5 |  | 1,975 | 8 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 15.8 | 8.1 | +8 | 15.3 | 9.9 | 51.5% | 97.0% | 1,827 | 16%25% | |||||||||
| 6 |  | 2,018 | 8 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 15.3 | 8.4 | +7 | 15 | 10.4 | 45.5% | 96.0% | 1,890 | 12%25% | |||||||||
| 7 |  | 1,994 | 8 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 15 | 8.4 | +7 | 15 | 10.6 | 47.5% | 94.5% | 1,852 | 14%21% | |||||||||
| 8 |  | 1,986 | 8 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 14.5 | 8.1 | +6 | 15.1 | 10.9 | 44.5% | 93.5% | 1,864 | 12%23% | |||||||||
| 9 |  | 1,985 | 8 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 15.6 | 8.3 | +7 | 14.6 | 11.3 | 41.5% | 96.0% | 1,846 | 12%19% | |||||||||
| 10 |  | 1,922 | 8 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 14 | 8.8 | +5 | 14.1 | 12.2 | 36.5% | 89.5% | 1,828 | 22% | |||||||||
| 11 |  | 1,897 | 8 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 13.3 | 8.8 | +5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 32.0% | 89.0% | 1,829 | 16% | |||||||||
| 12 |  | 1,921 | 8 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 13 | 9.5 | +3 | 13.2 | 14.3 | 29.5% | 84.5% | 1,851 | 18% | |||||||||
| 13 |  | 1,873 | 8 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 12.6 | 9.8 | +3 | 12.9 | 15.0 | 25.5% | 87.0% | 1,828 | 12% | |||||||||
| 14 |  | 1,904 | 8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 11.8 | 10.9 | +1 | 11.9 | 17.1 | 18.0% | 81.5% | 1,894 | 13% | |||||||||
| 15 |  | 1,852 | 8 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 11.5 | 10.7 | +1 | 11.6 | 17.4 | 19.5% | 76.0% | 1,827 | 11% | |||||||||
| 16 |  | 1,875 | 8 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11.4 | 10.9 | 0 | 11.6 | 17.6 | 19.0% | 74.0% | 1,863 | ||||||||||
| 17 |  | 1,895 | 8 | 3.2 | 2 | 2.9 | 11.6 | 10.9 | +1 | 11.5 | 17.7 | 21.0% | 72.5% | 1,879 | 11% | |||||||||
| 18 |  | 1,917 | 8 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 3.1 | 11.4 | 11.2 | 0 | 11.1 | 18.7 | 16.0% | 70.0% | 1,896 | 12% | |||||||||
| 19 |  | 1,869 | 8 | 3 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 11.1 | 10.7 | 0 | 10.8 | 19.2 | 13.0% | 71.0% | 1,864 | 11% | |||||||||
| 20 |  | 1,830 | 8 | 2.8 | 2 | 3.2 | 10.4 | 11.3 | −1 | 10.5 | 19.9 | 10.0% | 68.0% | 1,839 | ||||||||||
| 21 |  | 1,872 | 8 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 10.3 | 11.7 | −1 | 10.4 | 20.2 | 9.5% | 66.0% | 1,919 | ||||||||||
| 22 |  | 1,837 | 8 | 2.8 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 11.4 | 12.4 | −1 | 10.1 | 20.7 | 6.5% | 66.5% | 1,859 | ||||||||||
| 23 |  | 1,833 | 8 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 10.5 | 12.2 | −2 | 9.9 | 21.2 | 7.0% | 61.0% | 1,863 | ||||||||||
| 24 |  | 1,831 | 8 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 10.3 | 12.4 | −2 | 9.8 | 21.6 | 7.5% | 59.5% | 1,876 | ||||||||||
| 25 |  | 1,770 | 8 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 3.6 | 10 | 13 | −3 | 9.6 | 22.0 | 5.5% | 57.0% | 1,834 | ||||||||||
| 26 |  | 1,797 | 8 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 9.3 | 12.5 | −3 | 9.3 | 22.5 | 7.5% | 52.0% | 1,860 | ||||||||||
| 27 |  | 1,796 | 8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 8.9 | 13 | −4 | 8.8 | 23.2 | 7.0% | 49.5% | 1,889 | ||||||||||
| 28 |  | 1,834 | 8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 3.9 | 9.1 | 13 | −4 | 8.7 | 23.3 | 6.0% | 49.0% | 1,896 | ||||||||||
| 29 |  | 1,820 | 8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 9 | 12.8 | −4 | 8.5 | 24.2 | 3.5% | 48.0% | 1,879 | ||||||||||
| 30 |  | 1,726 | 8 | 2 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 8.2 | 13.5 | −5 | 7.8 | 25.4 | 4.5% | 38.5% | 1,828 | ||||||||||
| 31 |  | 1,687 | 8 | 2 | 1.5 | 4.6 | 8.8 | 15.5 | −7 | 7.4 | 26.4 | 1.0% | 35.0% | 1,817 | ||||||||||
| 32 |  | 1,740 | 8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 8.1 | 14.7 | −7 | 7.3 | 26.5 | 0.5% | 33.0% | 1,868 | ||||||||||
| 33 |  | 1,694 | 8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4.8 | 7.5 | 15.6 | −8 | 6.3 | 28.3 | 1.0% | 24.5% | 1,869 | ||||||||||
| 34 |  | 1,632 | 8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 7.2 | 16.9 | −10 | 5.9 | 29.2 | 0.0% | 20.5% | 1,823 | ||||||||||
| 35 |  | 1,580 | 8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5.7 | 6.2 | 20.9 | −15 | 4.7 | 31.0 | 0.5% | 11.0% | 1,865 | ||||||||||
| 36 |  | 1,499 | 8 | 0.6 | 1 | 6.4 | 4.8 | 25.3 | −20 | 2.8 | 34.0 | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1,850 |
One run of the knockout
A single sample from the runs above; Real Madrid lift the trophy in this one.
Playoff
-21 Marseille0-2Atletico Madrid +22
-34 Atletico Madrid0-1Marseille +33
+20 Manchester City2-0Monaco -19
+2 Monaco1-1Manchester City -2
+21 Borussia Dortmund1-0Napoli -21
-24 Napoli1-2Borussia Dortmund +24
-20 Ajax0-2Atalanta +20
-34 Atalanta0-1Ajax +34
+25 Sporting Lisbon1-0Bayern Munich -25
-34 Bayern Munich2-4Sporting Lisbon +34
-27 Olympiacos1-4Juventus +26
+13 Juventus3-1Olympiacos -14
-18 Frankfurt0-1Inter +19
+11 Inter1-0Frankfurt -11
Last 16
+9 Manchester City0-0Arsenal -9
+11 Arsenal2-0Manchester City -11
-19 Borussia Dortmund0-1Real Madrid +19
+10 Real Madrid4-3Borussia Dortmund -10
+23 Inter2-1Chelsea -23
-4 Chelsea1-1Inter +4
-26 Sporting Lisbon0-2Tottenham Hotspurs +25
+13 Tottenham Hotspurs2-1Sporting Lisbon -13
+30 Juventus2-1Paris Saint-Germain -31
-32 Paris Saint-Germain0-1Juventus +31
-28 Atalanta1-2Copenhagen +28
-2 Copenhagen3-3Atalanta +2
+20 Atletico Madrid3-2Newcastle United -20
+24 Newcastle UnitedAET5-1Atletico Madrid -24
+26 Leverkusen1-0Liverpool -27
-30 Liverpool0-1Leverkusen +29
Quarter
-21 Juventus1-3Arsenal +22
+15 Arsenal6-0Juventus -15
+3 Inter0-0Real Madrid -3
+19 Real Madrid2-0Inter -19
-3 Newcastle United3-3Tottenham Hotspurs +3
-30 Tottenham Hotspurs1-2AETNewcastle United +30
+12 Leverkusen2-1Copenhagen -12
-16 Copenhagen0-1Leverkusen +16
Semi
-23 Leverkusen1-3Arsenal +24
-42 Arsenal2-3Leverkusen +41
-22 Newcastle United0-1Real Madrid +23
+14 Real Madrid2-0Newcastle United -14
Final
-36 Arsenal0-4Real Madrid +36
Finish-position probabilities
Each cell shows a club’s chance of finishing in that league-phase position.