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Simuler la saison

Arsenal remporte la Ligue Europa dans 23% de 200 saisons simulées.

Groupe A

Chances de chaque club d'atteindre chaque tour
#ClubΔ ELOELOJGNPBPBCDiffPtsPlace moy.Top 8Top 24ELO adverse moy.FormeJusqu'où
1
Arsenal
Arsenal
+41 9041 90864.110.913.44.9+913.31.394.5%94.5%1 684
23%13%18%22%
23%
2
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
−31 7961 79362.81.31.99.97.2+39.82.171.5%71.5%1 720
11%20%
4%
3
Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt
−31 6641 66161.71.33.16.610.5−46.33.024.5%24.5%1 764
1%
4
Zürich
Zürich
+11 5921 59361.11.23.85.512.7−74.33.59.5%9.5%1 788
0%

Groupe B

Chances de chaque club d'atteindre chaque tour
#ClubΔ ELOELOJGNPBPBCDiffPtsPlace moy.Top 8Top 24ELO adverse moy.FormeJusqu'où
1
Rennes
Rennes
+51 7431 74863.51.31.211.55.7+611.91.685.5%85.5%1 607
15%20%
3%
2
Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
+51 6531 65862.51.528.67.7+18.92.359.0%59.0%1 637
16%
1%
3
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
−71 6461 63962.11.52.48.18.507.92.644.0%44.0%1 640
1%
4
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
−31 5231 52061.11.33.65.611.8−64.63.511.5%11.5%1 681
0%

Groupe C

Chances de chaque club d'atteindre chaque tour
#ClubΔ ELOELOJGNPBPBCDiffPtsPlace moy.Top 8Top 24ELO adverse moy.FormeJusqu'où
1
Real Betis
Real Betis
+21 8441 846641.20.914.24.9+913.11.595.0%95.0%1 610
12%11%15%23%
12%
2
Roma
Roma
+31 8151 81863.71.11.213.25.6+812.31.793.0%93.0%1 620
14%24%
7%
3
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
−31 5351 53261.313.75.713.1−74.83.37.5%7.5%1 713
0%
4
HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
−21 4811 47960.914.14.814.3−93.73.64.5%4.5%1 731
0%

Groupe D

Chances de chaque club d'atteindre chaque tour
#ClubΔ ELOELOJGNPBPBCDiffPtsPlace moy.Top 8Top 24ELO adverse moy.FormeJusqu'où
1
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
+11 8061 80763.61.21.211.95.5+712.11.687.5%87.5%1 643
14%26%
6%
2
Braga
Braga
−31 7471 74462.91.31.99.77.1+39.92.167.5%67.5%1 663
16%
2%
3
Union SG
Union SG
+11 6341 63561.91.22.97.49.7−26.92.832.0%32.0%1 700
0%
4
Malmö
Malmö
+11 5481 54961.21.23.65.412.2−74.73.513.0%13.0%1 729
0%

Groupe E

Chances de chaque club d'atteindre chaque tour
#ClubΔ ELOELOJGNPBPBCDiffPtsPlace moy.Top 8Top 24ELO adverse moy.FormeJusqu'où
1
Manchester United
Manchester United
+91 8571 86664.110.913.84.9+913.21.494.5%94.5%1 651
16%11%21%15%
16%
2
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
+11 8191 82063.51.11.311.85.8+611.71.891.0%91.0%1 664
25%
7%
3
Sheriff
Sheriff
−51 6151 61061.51.23.36.411.1−55.73.112.0%12.0%1 732
0%
4
Omonoia
Omonoia
−61 5191 51360.80.94.44.715−103.23.72.5%2.5%1 764
0%

Groupe F

Chances de chaque club d'atteindre chaque tour
#ClubΔ ELOELOJGNPBPBCDiffPtsPlace moy.Top 8Top 24ELO adverse moy.FormeJusqu'où
1
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
+21 7851 78763.41.21.310.95.7+511.51.785.0%85.0%1 658
22%
5%
2
Lazio
Lazio
01 7861 78663.31.31.410.46+411.11.882.0%82.0%1 658
18%
3%
3
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
+11 5991 60061.51.43.26.110.3−45.83.219.0%19.0%1 720
0%
4
Midtjylland
Midtjylland
−41 5901 58661.21.33.45.711.1−553.314.0%14.0%1 723
0%

Groupe G

Chances de chaque club d'atteindre chaque tour
#ClubΔ ELOELOJGNPBPBCDiffPtsPlace moy.Top 8Top 24ELO adverse moy.FormeJusqu'où
1
Freiburg
Freiburg
+41 7861 79063.41.41.2115.7+511.61.587.0%87.0%1 652
14%28%
6%
2
Olympiacos
Olympiacos
−11 6641 66362.11.62.47.38.3−17.72.745.5%45.5%1 693
16%
1%
3
Nantes
Nantes
−11 6601 65961.91.62.57.28.8−27.22.839.5%39.5%1 694
11%
1%
4
Qarabağ
Qarabağ
−21 6331 63161.61.62.86.89.5−36.33.028.0%28.0%1 703
0%

Groupe H

Chances de chaque club d'atteindre chaque tour
#ClubΔ ELOELOJGNPBPBCDiffPtsPlace moy.Top 8Top 24ELO adverse moy.FormeJusqu'où
1
Monaco
Monaco
+11 7741 77563.21.31.510.46.1+4111.879.0%79.0%1 650
11%27%
4%
2
Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda
−31 7441 741631.41.79.76.5+310.32.074.0%74.0%1 660
11%21%
3%
3
Ferencváros
Ferencváros
+21 5991 60161.51.43.16.410.3−463.123.0%23.0%1 708
0%
4
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor
01 6061 60661.51.43.16.610.2−363.124.0%24.0%1 706
0%

Une simulation de la phase finale

Un seul tirage parmi les simulations ci-dessus ; ici, Arsenal soulève le trophée.

Huitièmes
+18 Roma2-1Lazio -18
+17 Lazio2-0Roma -17
Quarts
Demies
Finale

Probabilités de classement final

Chaque cellule indique la probabilité qu’un club termine la phase de ligue à cette place.

Place
Club
1234
Arsenal
Arsenal
75% 20% 5% 1%
Manchester United
Manchester United
63% 32% 5% 1%
Real Betis
Real Betis
60% 35% 4% 1%
Roma
Roma
39% 55% 7% 1%
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
35% 56% 8% 2%
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
59% 28% 10% 3%
Freiburg
Freiburg
64% 24% 10% 3%
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
49% 37% 14% 2%
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
21% 51% 22% 7%
Monaco
Monaco
52% 27% 13% 8%
Rennes
Rennes
58% 28% 10% 5%
Lazio
Lazio
42% 40% 14% 4%
Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda
36% 39% 20% 7%
Braga
Braga
30% 38% 22% 11%
Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
20% 39% 29% 12%
Olympiacos
Olympiacos
15% 31% 27% 28%
Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt
3% 22% 45% 31%
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe
19% 26% 33% 23%
Nantes
Nantes
14% 26% 31% 30%
Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor
6% 18% 32% 45%
Qarabağ
Qarabağ
8% 21% 33% 40%
Union SG
Union SG
10% 22% 42% 27%
Ferencváros
Ferencváros
7% 17% 36% 41%
Sheriff
Sheriff
2% 11% 63% 26%
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
6% 13% 37% 45%
Zürich
Zürich
2% 8% 28% 63%
Midtjylland
Midtjylland
4% 11% 36% 50%
Malmö
Malmö
1% 12% 27% 60%
AEK Larnaca
AEK Larnaca
4% 8% 28% 61%
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
2% 6% 54% 39%
Omonoia
Omonoia
1% 2% 25% 73%
HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
5% 36% 60%