-15 PAOK0-1Genk +14
-8 Genk1-1PAOK +8
Aston Villa gana la Europa League en el 22% de 200 temporadas simuladas.
| # | Club | Δ ELO | ELO | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | DG | Pts | Pos. media | Top 8 | Top 24 | ELO rival medio | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Hasta dónde |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1929 | 8 | 5.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 18.9 | 6.5 | +13 | 17.8 | 5.5 | 78.5% | 98.5% | 1677 | 22%17%15%24% | ||||||||||
| 2 | 1886 | 8 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 16.4 | 7.1 | +9 | 17 | 6.7 | 71.5% | 99.0% | 1694 | 19%15%26% | ||||||||||
| 3 | 1840 | 8 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 15.8 | 7 | +9 | 16.2 | 8.0 | 65.5% | 96.5% | 1676 | 11%16%20% | ||||||||||
| 4 | 1807 | 8 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 15.8 | 7.6 | +8 | 16.1 | 8.3 | 62.5% | 97.5% | 1637 | 16%23% | ||||||||||
| 5 | 1791 | 8 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 14.7 | 7.9 | +7 | 15.4 | 9.3 | 55.0% | 97.0% | 1660 | 16%20% | ||||||||||
| 6 | 1837 | 8 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 14.6 | 8.1 | +7 | 14.8 | 10.6 | 47.0% | 93.0% | 1697 | 13%25% | ||||||||||
| 7 | 1810 | 8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 14.2 | 8.5 | +6 | 14.5 | 11.3 | 44.5% | 92.0% | 1709 | 18%20% | ||||||||||
| 8 | 1796 | 8 | 4.1 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 13.7 | 8.9 | +5 | 14 | 11.5 | 41.5% | 93.0% | 1697 | 13%25% | ||||||||||
| 9 | 1779 | 8 | 3.9 | 2 | 2.2 | 12.8 | 8.7 | +4 | 13.6 | 12.7 | 35.0% | 89.0% | 1703 | 12%20% | ||||||||||
| 10 | 1763 | 8 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 13.2 | 9.6 | +4 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 30.0% | 91.0% | 1689 | 20% | ||||||||||
| 11 | 1766 | 8 | 3.7 | 2 | 2.3 | 12.5 | 9.3 | +3 | 13.2 | 13.9 | 30.5% | 89.0% | 1702 | 21% | ||||||||||
| 12 | 1730 | 8 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 11.9 | 9.9 | +2 | 12.3 | 15.7 | 24.0% | 84.5% | 1689 | 18% | ||||||||||
| 13 | 1684 | 8 | 3.4 | 2 | 2.6 | 11.6 | 9.6 | +2 | 12.3 | 15.7 | 28.0% | 80.0% | 1653 | 10% | ||||||||||
| 14 | 1718 | 8 | 3.2 | 2 | 2.8 | 11.1 | 10.2 | +1 | 11.7 | 17.1 | 24.5% | 74.5% | 1705 | 15% | ||||||||||
| 15 | 1729 | 8 | 3.1 | 2 | 2.9 | 11.1 | 10.7 | 0 | 11.3 | 17.8 | 16.5% | 75.0% | 1728 | 15% | ||||||||||
| 16 | 1682 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 0 | 11 | 18.4 | 17.5% | 71.5% | 1691 | 14% | ||||||||||
| 17 | 1676 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3.1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10.9 | 18.7 | 13.5% | 70.5% | 1690 | |||||||||||
| 18 | 1713 | 8 | 2.9 | 2 | 3.1 | 11 | 11.1 | 0 | 10.7 | 18.9 | 15.5% | 68.5% | 1712 | 12% | ||||||||||
| 19 | 1696 | 8 | 2.9 | 2 | 3.1 | 10.4 | 10.8 | 0 | 10.8 | 18.9 | 15.5% | 67.5% | 1703 | 11% | ||||||||||
| 20 | 1624 | 8 | 2.6 | 2 | 3.4 | 9.9 | 12.2 | −2 | 9.9 | 21.3 | 10.0% | 59.0% | 1657 | |||||||||||
| 21 | 1643 | 8 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 3.6 | 9.8 | 12 | −2 | 9.5 | 21.6 | 8.5% | 58.5% | 1695 | |||||||||||
| 22 | 1633 | 8 | 2.5 | 2 | 3.5 | 9.7 | 12.3 | −3 | 9.5 | 22.0 | 9.0% | 52.0% | 1697 | |||||||||||
| 23 | 1679 | 8 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 9.4 | 12.3 | −3 | 9.4 | 22.1 | 7.5% | 53.0% | 1717 | |||||||||||
| 24 | 1624 | 8 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 3.8 | 9.3 | 13.1 | −4 | 8.9 | 23.1 | 7.0% | 52.5% | 1705 | |||||||||||
| 25 | 1634 | 8 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 9.2 | 12.9 | −4 | 8.9 | 23.2 | 6.0% | 51.5% | 1717 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 1614 | 8 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 9.2 | 12.8 | −4 | 8.7 | 23.6 | 5.0% | 48.0% | 1688 | |||||||||||
| 27 | 1584 | 8 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 9.1 | 13.3 | −4 | 8.8 | 23.6 | 6.5% | 47.5% | 1667 | |||||||||||
| 28 | 1610 | 8 | 2.2 | 2 | 3.8 | 9.1 | 13.5 | −4 | 8.6 | 23.9 | 5.5% | 45.5% | 1701 | |||||||||||
| 29 | 1618 | 8 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 9 | 13.5 | −4 | 8.5 | 24.1 | 3.5% | 49.5% | 1693 | |||||||||||
| 30 | 1661 | 8 | 2.1 | 2 | 3.9 | 8.7 | 13.5 | −5 | 8.3 | 24.5 | 2.5% | 48.0% | 1753 | |||||||||||
| 31 | 1561 | 8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 8.4 | 13.5 | −5 | 7.7 | 25.7 | 2.5% | 39.5% | 1656 | |||||||||||
| 32 | 1563 | 8 | 2 | 1.6 | 4.4 | 8.3 | 14.6 | −6 | 7.6 | 26.1 | 2.0% | 39.0% | 1681 | |||||||||||
| 33 | 1606 | 8 | 2 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 8.6 | 15.3 | −7 | 7.7 | 26.1 | 2.5% | 36.0% | 1737 | |||||||||||
| 34 | 1632 | 8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 8.1 | 14.5 | −6 | 7.2 | 27.1 | 3.5% | 30.5% | 1751 | |||||||||||
| 35 | 1551 | 8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4.7 | 7.9 | 15.5 | −8 | 6.6 | 27.8 | 1.5% | 31.0% | 1706 | |||||||||||
| 36 | 1549 | 8 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 7.7 | 14.8 | −7 | 6.6 | 27.9 | 0.5% | 31.5% | 1688 |
Una sola muestra de las simulaciones de arriba; en esta, Roma levanta el trofeo.
Cada celda muestra la probabilidad de que un club termine la fase de liga en esa posición.