+8 Sparta Praha2-2Milan -8
-2 Milan3-1AETSparta Praha +2
Simulate the season
From today's table, AFC Bournemouth win the Europa League in 29% of 200 simulated seasons.
| # | Club | Δ ELO | ELO | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Avg finish | Top 8 | Top 24 | Avg opp. ELO | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | How far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 1,872 | 8 | 7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 24.6 | 5.2 | +19.4 | 21.7 | 2.3 | 99.5% | 100.0% | 1,627 | 20%20%25%25% | |||||||||
| 2 |  | 1,929 | 8 | 7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 23.1 | 4.1 | +19 | 21.8 | 2.3 | 98.5% | 100.0% | 1,631 | 29%17%24%20% | |||||||||
| 3 |  | 1,859 | 8 | 6.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 18.5 | 4.1 | +14.4 | 19.7 | 4.2 | 92.0% | 100.0% | 1,634 | 16%14%22%25% | |||||||||
| 4 |  | 1,844 | 8 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 14.8 | 6.1 | +8.7 | 17.7 | 6.7 | 73.5% | 100.0% | 1,619 | 11%18%32% | |||||||||
| 5 |  | 1,823 | 8 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 19 | 7.7 | +11.3 | 17.4 | 7.0 | 72.0% | 100.0% | 1,664 | 18%30% | |||||||||
| 6 |  | 1,823 | 8 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 17.5 | 6 | +11.5 | 16.6 | 7.6 | 68.0% | 100.0% | 1,666 | 14%36% | |||||||||
| 7 |  | 1,701 | 8 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 11.9 | 6.7 | +5.2 | 17.1 | 8.0 | 58.0% | 100.0% | 1,654 | 26% | |||||||||
| 8 |  | 1,682 | 8 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 15.6 | 10.1 | +5.5 | 15.4 | 10.0 | 39.5% | 100.0% | 1,660 | 17% | |||||||||
| 9 |  | 1,824 | 8 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 18.7 | 9.3 | +9.4 | 14.9 | 10.1 | 47.5% | 99.5% | 1,660 | 14%27% | |||||||||
| 10 |  | 1,790 | 8 | 3.9 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 13.1 | 7.7 | +5.4 | 14.9 | 10.6 | 36.5% | 98.0% | 1,628 | 28% | |||||||||
| 11 |  | 1,781 | 8 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 13.9 | 11.2 | +2.7 | 14.9 | 11.0 | 32.5% | 99.5% | 1,704 | 26% | |||||||||
| 12 |  | 1,813 | 8 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 13.7 | 9.7 | +3.9 | 12.7 | 14.0 | 11.5% | 98.5% | 1,712 | 22% | |||||||||
| 13 |  | 1,616 | 8 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 14.8 | 12.9 | +1.9 | 12.7 | 14.4 | 19.0% | 93.0% | 1,743 | ||||||||||
| 14 |  | 1,639 | 8 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 12.3 | 10 | +2.3 | 12.1 | 15.6 | 10.0% | 89.0% | 1,689 | ||||||||||
| 15 |  | 1,696 | 8 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 15.9 | 9.8 | +6.1 | 11.6 | 16.0 | 6.0% | 93.5% | 1,702 | 12% | |||||||||
| 16 |  | 1,651 | 8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 11.4 | 11.4 | 0 | 12.3 | 16.0 | 12.5% | 89.0% | 1,701 | 10% | |||||||||
| 17 |  | 1,589 | 8 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 8.2 | 10.2 | −2 | 10.9 | 18.9 | 6.0% | 80.0% | 1,692 | ||||||||||
| 18 |  | 1,707 | 8 | 3 | 1.2 | 3.8 | 10.7 | 10.7 | −0.1 | 10.3 | 19.3 | 3.5% | 79.5% | 1,715 | ||||||||||
| 19 |  | 1,755 | 8 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 11.8 | 11.8 | −0.1 | 9.9 | 19.9 | 4.0% | 72.5% | 1,658 | ||||||||||
| 20 |  | 1,631 | 8 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10.4 | 10.3 | +0.2 | 9.4 | 21.0 | 3.5% | 65.5% | 1,677 | ||||||||||
| 21 |  | 1,559 | 8 | 2.5 | 2 | 3.6 | 9 | 11.9 | −3 | 9.4 | 21.4 | 1.0% | 68.5% | 1,646 | ||||||||||
| 22 |  | 1,596 | 8 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 9.1 | 14.4 | −5.3 | 9.8 | 21.4 | 0.5% | 68.0% | 1,670 | ||||||||||
| 23 |  | 1,548 | 8 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 10.7 | 16.4 | −5.6 | 9.2 | 22.4 | 1.0% | 59.0% | 1,681 | ||||||||||
| 24 |  | 1,679 | 8 | 2.3 | 2 | 3.7 | 8.4 | 12.7 | −4.3 | 8.8 | 23.0 | 2.0% | 59.0% | 1,688 | ||||||||||
| 25 |  | 1,595 | 8 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 9.5 | 12.7 | −3.2 | 7.9 | 24.3 | 0.5% | 47.0% | 1,682 | ||||||||||
| 26 |  | 1,742 | 8 | 2 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 8.1 | 12.6 | −4.5 | 7.2 | 26.0 | 0.0% | 41.5% | 1,669 | ||||||||||
| 27 |  | 1,583 | 8 | 2.1 | 1 | 4.9 | 8.6 | 15.4 | −6.7 | 7.2 | 26.4 | 0.0% | 32.5% | 1,679 | ||||||||||
| 28 |  | 1,658 | 8 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 7.7 | 17.3 | −9.6 | 7.4 | 26.6 | 0.5% | 33.0% | 1,717 | ||||||||||
| 29 |  | 1,689 | 8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 9.6 | 16.4 | −6.8 | 6.6 | 27.3 | 0.5% | 29.5% | 1,686 | ||||||||||
| 30 |  | 1,565 | 8 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 7.8 | 15.3 | −7.5 | 6.6 | 27.6 | 0.0% | 30.5% | 1,642 | ||||||||||
| 31 |  | 1,392 | 8 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5.2 | 8.3 | 17.5 | −9.2 | 6.5 | 28.3 | 0.5% | 26.0% | 1,655 | ||||||||||
| 32 |  | 1,437 | 8 | 1.7 | 1 | 5.4 | 7.1 | 15.8 | −8.6 | 6 | 29.1 | 0.0% | 17.5% | 1,719 | ||||||||||
| 33 |  | 1,601 | 8 | 1.2 | 2 | 4.8 | 6.3 | 15.7 | −9.4 | 5.6 | 29.7 | 0.0% | 15.0% | 1,707 | ||||||||||
| 34 |  | 1,511 | 8 | 1.2 | 1 | 5.8 | 7.2 | 20.3 | −13.1 | 4.6 | 31.6 | 0.0% | 9.0% | 1,591 | ||||||||||
| 35 |  | 1,583 | 8 | 1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6.7 | 17.8 | −11.2 | 4 | 32.4 | 0.0% | 3.0% | 1,701 | ||||||||||
| 36 |  | 1,462 | 8 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 22.3 | −16.6 | 3.5 | 33.6 | 0.0% | 3.5% | 1,655 |
One run of the knockout
A single sample from the runs above; Leverkusen lift the trophy in this one.
Playoff
-16 Anderlecht1-2Ferencváros +16
+13 Ferencváros5-2Anderlecht -13
-15 Marseille0-1Crystal Palace +15
-8 Crystal Palace2-2Marseille +8
-13 Sturm Graz0-1Celta Vigo +12
-31 Celta Vigo1-3Sturm Graz +31
-6 Lyon1-1Beşiktaş +6
+17 Beşiktaş2-1Lyon -17
+20 GNK Dinamo Zagreb5-2Real Sociedad -20
-24 Real Sociedad1-3GNK Dinamo Zagreb +24
-27 Juventus0-4Rennes +27
+17 Rennes3-0Juventus -17
+18 RB Salzburg2-0Jagiellonia -18
-21 Jagiellonia1-3RB Salzburg +21
Last 16
-11 GNK Dinamo Zagreb0-1Benfica +12
-35 Benfica1-3GNK Dinamo Zagreb +33
-7 Sturm Graz2-3Leverkusen +7
+6 Leverkusen3-0Sturm Graz -6
+3 Rennes0-0AFC Bournemouth -4
+12 AFC Bournemouth3-1Rennes -11
-11 RB Salzburg0-3Sunderland AFC +12
+8 Sunderland AFC6-2RB Salzburg -7
-14 Beşiktaş0-2Union SG +14
+8 Union SG2-0Beşiktaş -8
+13 Crystal Palace2-0AZ Alkmaar -13
+2 AZ Alkmaar1-1Crystal Palace -2
-1 Ferencváros2-2Olympiacos +1
-21 Olympiacos0-1Ferencváros +20
-6 Milan1-1Omonoia +6
+18 Omonoia1-0Milan -19
Quarter
+6 GNK Dinamo Zagreb1-1Leverkusen -6
+10 Leverkusen1-0GNK Dinamo Zagreb -9
+5 Crystal Palace2-2AFC Bournemouth -5
-30 AFC Bournemouth0-1Crystal Palace +29
+34 Omonoia5-1Sunderland AFC -36
-7 Sunderland AFC2-2Omonoia +7
+25 Ferencváros1-0Union SG -26
-28 Union SG1-2Ferencváros +27
Semi
-19 Ferencváros1-3Leverkusen +19
+10 Leverkusen1-0Ferencváros -10
-6 Crystal Palace1-1Omonoia +6
+0 Omonoia1-1AETPCrystal Palace +0
Final
+2 Leverkusen1-0AETOmonoia -2
Finish-position probabilities
Each cell shows a club’s chance of finishing in that league-phase position.