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Liverpool win the Europa League in 50% of 200 simulated seasons.

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Each club's chance of reaching each stage
#	Club	Δ ELO	ELO	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Avg finish	Top 8	Top 24	Avg opp. ELO	How far
1	West Ham	+3	1,8511,854	6	3.9	1.1	1	13.5	5.2	+8.3	12.7	1.5	91.5%	91.5%	1,637	19%27% 9%
2	Freiburg	+2	1,7881,790	6	3.2	1.4	1.4	11.3	6.2	+5.2	11	1.9	81.5%	81.5%	1,658	13%29% 2%
3	Olympiacos	−1	1,6601,659	6	2	1.3	2.7	7.7	9.2	−1.5	7.4	2.8	27.0%	27.0%	1,701	1%
4	TSC	−5	1,4641,459	6	0.6	0.9	4.6	4.1	16.1	−12	2.6	3.9	0.0%	0.0%	1,766	0%

Each club's chance of reaching each stage
#	Club	Δ ELO	ELO	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Avg finish	Top 8	Top 24	Avg opp. ELO	How far
1	Brighton	+2	1,8891,891	6	3.8	1.2	1	12.3	5.3	+7	12.5	1.4	90.5%	90.5%	1,700	12%16%20%21% 12%
2	Marseille	+6	1,7471,753	6	2.4	1.4	2.1	8.4	7.8	+0.6	8.7	2.4	54.5%	54.5%	1,747	12% 1%
3	Ajax	−3	1,7361,733	6	2.2	1.4	2.5	7.8	8.6	−0.8	7.8	2.6	40.5%	40.5%	1,751	11% 1%
4	AEK Athens	−5	1,6161,611	6	1	1.3	3.7	5.3	12	−6.7	4.3	3.5	14.5%	14.5%	1,791	0%

Each club's chance of reaching each stage
#	Club	Δ ELO	ELO	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Avg finish	Top 8	Top 24	Avg opp. ELO	How far
1	Real Betis	+2	1,7841,786	6	3.4	1.4	1.3	11	5.8	+5.2	11.5	1.7	80.0%	80.0%	1,647	12%28% 4%
2	Sparta Praha	−2	1,6891,687	6	2.4	1.5	2.2	8.5	8	+0.5	8.5	2.4	55.5%	55.5%	1,679	11% 1%
3	Rangers	+3	1,6741,677	6	2.2	1.5	2.3	8.1	8.2	−0.1	8.2	2.5	49.0%	49.0%	1,684	14% 0%
4	Aris Limassol	−3	1,5781,575	6	1.1	1.5	3.4	5.7	11.3	−5.6	4.9	3.4	15.5%	15.5%	1,716	0%

Each club's chance of reaching each stage
#	Club	Δ ELO	ELO	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Avg finish	Top 8	Top 24	Avg opp. ELO	How far
1	Sporting Lisbon	0	1,8421,842	6	3.4	1.3	1.3	10.8	5.7	+5.1	11.5	1.7	79.0%	79.0%	1,704	16%22% 9%
2	Atalanta	+6	1,7901,796	6	2.9	1.4	1.6	9.7	6.6	+3.1	10.2	2.0	77.5%	77.5%	1,721	10%20% 3%
3	Sturm Graz	−1	1,6791,678	6	1.7	1.4	3	6.8	9.8	−2.9	6.3	3.0	23.0%	23.0%	1,758	0%
4	Raków Częstochowa	−5	1,6431,638	6	1.3	1.3	3.4	5.8	11	−5.2	5.2	3.3	20.5%	20.5%	1,770	0%

Each club's chance of reaching each stage
#	Club	Δ ELO	ELO	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Avg finish	Top 8	Top 24	Avg opp. ELO	How far
1	Liverpool	+3	2,0152,018	6	5	0.7	0.4	18.1	3.5	+14.7	15.6	1.1	99.5%	99.5%	1,649	50%14%12%14% 50%
2	Union SG	+1	1,7421,743	6	2.5	1.2	2.3	8.7	8.8	−0.1	8.8	2.4	68.0%	68.0%	1,740	14% 0%
3	LASK Linz	−4	1,6161,612	6	1.2	1.2	3.6	5.9	12.9	−7	4.8	3.2	17.0%	17.0%	1,782	0%
4	Toulouse	0	1,5881,588	6	1.2	1.1	3.7	5.5	13	−7.5	4.7	3.3	15.5%	15.5%	1,791	1%

Each club's chance of reaching each stage
#	Club	Δ ELO	ELO	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Avg finish	Top 8	Top 24	Avg opp. ELO	How far
1	Villarreal	0	1,7901,790	6	3.4	1.2	1.4	10.5	6.1	+4.4	11.3	1.7	82.5%	82.5%	1,668	14%28% 0%
2	Rennes	0	1,7481,748	6	2.8	1.3	1.9	9.3	7.2	+2.1	9.7	2.2	62.5%	62.5%	1,682	18% 1%
3	Maccabi Haifa	+7	1,6501,657	6	1.9	1.4	2.7	7	8.9	−1.9	7.2	2.8	38.5%	38.5%	1,715	0%
4	Panathinaikos	−7	1,6061,599	6	1.2	1.4	3.3	5.9	10.5	−4.6	5.1	3.3	16.5%	16.5%	1,729	0%

Each club's chance of reaching each stage
#	Club	Δ ELO	ELO	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Avg finish	Top 8	Top 24	Avg opp. ELO	How far
1	Roma	+8	1,7991,807	6	3.8	1.2	1	12.4	5.4	+7	12.6	1.4	90.5%	90.5%	1,622	13%32% 2%
2	Slavia Praha	−6	1,6861,680	6	2.4	1.4	2.2	8.4	8.1	+0.4	8.6	2.4	55.0%	55.0%	1,660	1%
3	Sheriff	−1	1,6051,604	6	1.8	1.2	3	7	10	−3	6.6	2.9	33.0%	33.0%	1,687	0%
4	Servette	+1	1,5751,576	6	1.4	1.3	3.3	6.3	10.7	−4.4	5.6	3.2	21.5%	21.5%	1,697	0%

Each club's chance of reaching each stage
#	Club	Δ ELO	ELO	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Avg finish	Top 8	Top 24	Avg opp. ELO	How far
1	Leverkusen	+5	1,8641,869	6	4.4	1	0.5	14.6	4.3	+10.3	14.4	1.1	98.5%	98.5%	1,595	24%34% 6%
2	Qarabağ	+1	1,6121,613	6	1.8	1.5	2.8	7.1	9.8	−2.7	6.7	2.8	41.5%	41.5%	1,679	0%
3	Molde	−6	1,5981,592	6	1.6	1.5	3	6.7	10.2	−3.5	6.2	3.0	27.5%	27.5%	1,684	0%
4	Häcken	+1	1,5751,576	6	1.6	1.3	3.1	6.5	10.6	−4.1	6.1	3.1	32.5%	32.5%	1,691	0%