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Can you beat the beyondELO model?
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31 Mar 2013
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#
Player
Position
Season
ELO
Last 5
1
Lionel Messi
FWD
+24
2204
Rating Deviation:
95
/
Settled
100
120
200
0
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 26
2013-03-02
Real Madrid
2-1
Barcelona
Rating
7.8
90'
1 G
0
2192 -> 2192
Player Rating Deviation
94
105
Home Field Advantage
-1
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-09
Barcelona
2-0
Deportivo
Rating
7.3
28'
1 G
-1
2192 -> 2191
95
Player Rating Deviation
112
Home Field Advantage
+8
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-12
Barcelona
4-0
Milan
Rating
9.7
90'
2 G
+8
2191 -> 2199
94
Player Rating Deviation
112
Home Field Advantage
+3
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 28
2013-03-17
Barcelona
3-1
Rayo Vallecano
Rating
10
90'
2 G
1 A
+3
2199 -> 2202
94
Player Rating Deviation
113
Home Field Advantage
+2
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 29
2013-03-30
Celta Vigo
2-2
Barcelona
Rating
8.8
90'
1 G
1 A
+2
2202 -> 2204
Player Rating Deviation
95
73
Home Field Advantage
2
Cristiano Ronaldo
FWD
-43
2019
Rating Deviation:
79
/
Settled
100
120
200
0
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 26
2013-03-02
Real Madrid
2-1
Barcelona
Rating
6.9
32'
0
1998 -> 1998
79
Player Rating Deviation
105
Home Field Advantage
+19
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-05
Manchester United
1-2
Real Madrid
Rating
8.1
90'
1 G
+19
1998 -> 2017
Player Rating Deviation
78
99
Home Field Advantage
+3
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-10
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Rating
8.3
90'
2 G
+3
2017 -> 2020
Player Rating Deviation
79
74
Home Field Advantage
+3
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 28
2013-03-16
Real Madrid
5-2
Mallorca
Rating
9
90'
1 G
+3
2020 -> 2023
79
Player Rating Deviation
106
Home Field Advantage
-4
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 29
2013-03-30
Real Zaragoza
1-1
Real Madrid
Rating
7.4
90'
1 G
-4
2023 -> 2019
Player Rating Deviation
79
84
Home Field Advantage
3
Mario Götze
MID
+151
1875
Rating Deviation:
72
/
Settled
100
120
200
-4
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 24
2013-03-02
Borussia Dortmund
3-1
Hannover 96
Rating
6.6
26'
-4
1851 -> 1847
73
Player Rating Deviation
95
Home Field Advantage
+21
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-05
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rating
8.4
90'
1 G
1 A
+21
1847 -> 1868
73
Player Rating Deviation
96
Home Field Advantage
+5
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 25
2013-03-09
Schalke 04
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Rating
8.4
90'
+5
1868 -> 1873
Player Rating Deviation
72
76
Home Field Advantage
-2
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 26
2013-03-16
Borussia Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Rating
7.3
78'
-2
1873 -> 1871
72
Player Rating Deviation
97
Home Field Advantage
+4
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-30
VfB Stuttgart
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Rating
8.3
85'
+4
1871 -> 1875
Player Rating Deviation
72
74
Home Field Advantage
4
Arturo Vidal
MID
+79
1871
Rating Deviation:
71
/
Settled
100
120
200
-14
SERIE A
·
Matchday 25
2013-02-16
Roma
1-0
Juventus
Rating
6.4
73'
-14
1871 -> 1857
Player Rating Deviation
72
87
Home Field Advantage
+5
SERIE A
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-01
Napoli
1-1
Juventus
Rating
7.9
90'
+5
1857 -> 1862
Player Rating Deviation
71
97
Home Field Advantage
+6
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-06
Juventus
2-0
Celtic
Rating
7.9
68'
1 A
+6
1862 -> 1868
72
Player Rating Deviation
80
Home Field Advantage
+5
SERIE A
·
Matchday 29
2013-03-16
Bologna
0-2
Juventus
Rating
8.3
90'
+5
1868 -> 1873
Player Rating Deviation
72
76
Home Field Advantage
-2
SERIE A
·
Matchday 30
2013-03-30
Inter
1-2
Juventus
Rating
7.1
90'
-2
1873 -> 1871
Player Rating Deviation
71
71
Home Field Advantage
5
Robert Lewandowski
FWD
+135
1869
Rating Deviation:
70
/
Settled
100
120
200
+6
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 24
2013-03-02
Borussia Dortmund
3-1
Hannover 96
Rating
9.2
90'
2 G
+6
1844 -> 1850
71
Player Rating Deviation
95
Home Field Advantage
+20
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-05
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rating
8.4
90'
1 A
+20
1850 -> 1870
70
Player Rating Deviation
96
Home Field Advantage
-8
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 25
2013-03-09
Schalke 04
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Rating
6.8
90'
1 G
-8
1870 -> 1862
Player Rating Deviation
70
76
Home Field Advantage
+5
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 26
2013-03-16
Borussia Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Rating
10
90'
2 G
1 A
+5
1862 -> 1867
70
Player Rating Deviation
97
Home Field Advantage
+2
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-30
VfB Stuttgart
1-2
Borussia Dortmund
Rating
8
90'
1 G
+2
1867 -> 1869
Player Rating Deviation
70
74
Home Field Advantage
6
Santi Cazorla
MID
+80
1866
Rating Deviation:
69
/
Settled
100
120
200
+5
PREMIER LEAGUE
·
Matchday 27
2013-02-23
Arsenal
2-1
Aston Villa
Rating
9.7
90'
2 G
+5
1822 -> 1827
69
Player Rating Deviation
87
Home Field Advantage
+5
PREMIER LEAGUE
·
Matchday 28
2013-03-03
Tottenham Hotspurs
2-1
Arsenal
Rating
7.5
90'
+5
1827 -> 1832
Player Rating Deviation
69
92
Home Field Advantage
+26
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-13
Bayern Munich
0-2
Arsenal
Rating
7.2
90'
1 A
+26
1832 -> 1858
Player Rating Deviation
69
118
Home Field Advantage
+5
PREMIER LEAGUE
·
Matchday 30
2013-03-16
Swansea
0-2
Arsenal
Rating
8.1
90'
+5
1858 -> 1863
Player Rating Deviation
69
91
Home Field Advantage
+3
PREMIER LEAGUE
·
Matchday 31
2013-03-30
Arsenal
4-1
Reading FC
Rating
9
90'
1 G
1 A
+3
1863 -> 1866
69
Player Rating Deviation
87
Home Field Advantage
7
Riccardo Montolivo
MID
+145
1841
Rating Deviation:
69
/
Settled
100
120
200
+5
SERIE A
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-02
Milan
3-0
Lazio
Rating
7.6
90'
+5
1806 -> 1811
68
Player Rating Deviation
58
Home Field Advantage
-1
SERIE A
·
Matchday 28
2013-03-08
Genoa
0-2
Milan
Rating
7.4
90'
-1
1811 -> 1810
Player Rating Deviation
68
88
Home Field Advantage
+25
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-12
Barcelona
4-0
Milan
Rating
7.4
90'
+25
1810 -> 1835
Player Rating Deviation
68
112
Home Field Advantage
+1
SERIE A
·
Matchday 29
2013-03-17
Milan
2-0
Palermo
Rating
8
90'
+1
1835 -> 1836
69
Player Rating Deviation
59
Home Field Advantage
+5
SERIE A
·
Matchday 30
2013-03-30
Chievo
0-1
Milan
Rating
8.4
90'
1 G
+5
1836 -> 1841
Player Rating Deviation
69
68
Home Field Advantage
8
JF
Jefferson Farfán
—
+72
1836
Rating Deviation:
72
/
Settled
100
120
200
+6
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 24
2013-03-02
Wolfsburg
1-4
Schalke 04
Rating
9.4
90'
1 G
+6
1827 -> 1833
Player Rating Deviation
73
96
Home Field Advantage
+17
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 25
2013-03-09
Schalke 04
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Rating
8.4
90'
+17
1833 -> 1850
72
Player Rating Deviation
76
Home Field Advantage
-5
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-12
Schalke 04
2-3
Galatasaray
Rating
7.4
90'
-5
1850 -> 1845
72
Player Rating Deviation
77
Home Field Advantage
-7
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 26
2013-03-16
Nürnberg
3-0
Schalke 04
Rating
7.1
90'
-7
1845 -> 1838
Player Rating Deviation
72
70
Home Field Advantage
-2
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-30
Schalke 04
3-0
Hoffenheim
Rating
7.4
90'
1 A
-2
1838 -> 1836
72
Player Rating Deviation
75
Home Field Advantage
9
Javier Martinez
DEF
+30
1831
Rating Deviation:
72
/
Settled
100
120
200
0
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 23
2013-02-23
Bayern Munich
6-1
Bremen
Rating
7.6
53'
1 G
0
1834 -> 1834
74
Player Rating Deviation
118
Home Field Advantage
0
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 24
2013-03-03
Hoffenheim
0-1
Bayern Munich
Rating
7.7
90'
0
1834 -> 1834
Player Rating Deviation
74
59
Home Field Advantage
-14
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-13
Bayern Munich
0-2
Arsenal
Rating
6.9
90'
-14
1834 -> 1820
73
Player Rating Deviation
118
Home Field Advantage
+6
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 26
2013-03-16
Leverkusen
1-2
Bayern Munich
Rating
7.5
90'
+6
1820 -> 1826
Player Rating Deviation
72
78
Home Field Advantage
+5
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-30
Bayern Munich
9-2
Hamburg
Rating
8.7
90'
1 A
+5
1826 -> 1831
72
Player Rating Deviation
115
Home Field Advantage
10
Thomas Müller
FWD
+50
1823
Rating Deviation:
71
/
Settled
100
120
200
+26
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-02-19
Arsenal
1-3
Bayern Munich
Rating
8.7
90'
1 G
1 A
+26
1804 -> 1830
Player Rating Deviation
71
88
Home Field Advantage
-2
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 24
2013-03-03
Hoffenheim
0-1
Bayern Munich
Rating
7.5
90'
-2
1830 -> 1828
Player Rating Deviation
71
59
Home Field Advantage
-6
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 25
2013-03-09
Bayern Munich
3-2
Düsseldorf
Rating
7
73'
1 G
-6
1828 -> 1822
71
Player Rating Deviation
118
Home Field Advantage
0
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-13
Bayern Munich
0-2
Arsenal
Rating
7.4
90'
0
1822 -> 1822
71
Player Rating Deviation
118
Home Field Advantage
+1
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-30
Bayern Munich
9-2
Hamburg
Rating
7.8
26'
1 A
+1
1822 -> 1823
71
Player Rating Deviation
115
Home Field Advantage
#
Player
Position
Season
ELO
Last 5
11
Karim Benzema
FWD
-22
1822
Rating Deviation:
76
/
Settled
100
120
200
+4
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 23
2013-02-09
Real Madrid
4-1
Sevilla
Rating
7.9
68'
1 G
+4
1819 -> 1823
76
Player Rating Deviation
105
Home Field Advantage
-4
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-02-13
Real Madrid
1-1
Manchester United
Rating
6.6
62'
-4
1823 -> 1819
75
Player Rating Deviation
105
Home Field Advantage
+7
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 26
2013-03-02
Real Madrid
2-1
Barcelona
Rating
7.2
58'
1 G
+7
1819 -> 1826
75
Player Rating Deviation
105
Home Field Advantage
0
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-10
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Rating
7.6
67'
0
1826 -> 1826
Player Rating Deviation
75
74
Home Field Advantage
-4
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 28
2013-03-16
Real Madrid
5-2
Mallorca
Rating
7
43'
1 G
-4
1826 -> 1822
76
Player Rating Deviation
106
Home Field Advantage
12
Fernandinho
MID
+183
1822
Rating Deviation:
114
/
Settling
100
120
200
+28
UCL
·
Matchday 4
2012-11-07
Chelsea
3-2
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rating
8
90'
+28
1731 -> 1759
Player Rating Deviation
141
92
Home Field Advantage
+12
UCL
·
Matchday 5
2012-11-20
Nordsjælland
2-5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rating
8.1
90'
+12
1759 -> 1771
Player Rating Deviation
134
74
Home Field Advantage
+17
UCL
·
Matchday 6
2012-12-05
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
Juventus
Rating
7.7
90'
+17
1771 -> 1788
126
Player Rating Deviation
90
Home Field Advantage
+29
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-02-13
Shakhtar Donetsk
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Rating
8.2
90'
+29
1788 -> 1817
120
Player Rating Deviation
88
Home Field Advantage
+5
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-05
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rating
6.9
90'
+5
1817 -> 1822
Player Rating Deviation
114
96
Home Field Advantage
13
R
Ramires
—
-4
1817
Rating Deviation:
72
/
Settled
100
120
200
-5
PREMIER LEAGUE
·
Matchday 27
2013-02-24
Manchester City
2-0
Chelsea
Rating
6.6
90'
-5
1814 -> 1809
Player Rating Deviation
72
103
Home Field Advantage
0
PREMIER LEAGUE
·
Matchday 28
2013-03-02
Chelsea
1-0
West Bromwich Albion
Rating
7.4
90'
0
1809 -> 1809
71
Player Rating Deviation
89
Home Field Advantage
+8
UEL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-14
Chelsea
3-1
FCSB
Rating
7.9
90'
1 A
+8
1809 -> 1817
71
Player Rating Deviation
90
Home Field Advantage
+2
PREMIER LEAGUE
·
Matchday 30
2013-03-17
Chelsea
2-0
West Ham
Rating
7.8
90'
+2
1817 -> 1819
71
Player Rating Deviation
90
Home Field Advantage
-2
PREMIER LEAGUE
·
Matchday 31
2013-03-30
Southampton
2-1
Chelsea
Rating
6.9
16'
-2
1819 -> 1817
Player Rating Deviation
72
75
Home Field Advantage
14
Willian
FWD
+78
1813
Rating Deviation:
94
/
Settled
100
120
200
+10
UCL
·
Matchday 5
2012-11-20
Nordsjælland
2-5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rating
10
88'
2 G
1 A
+10
1819 -> 1829
Player Rating Deviation
99
74
Home Field Advantage
-5
UCL
·
Matchday 6
2012-12-05
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
Juventus
Rating
6.8
90'
-5
1829 -> 1824
96
Player Rating Deviation
90
Home Field Advantage
+7
UEL
·
Playoffs
2013-02-14
Anji
3-1
Hannover 96
Rating
7.9
87'
1 A
+7
1824 -> 1831
95
Player Rating Deviation
80
Home Field Advantage
-12
UEL
·
Playoffs
2013-02-21
Hannover 96
1-1
Anji
Rating
6.6
68'
-12
1831 -> 1819
Player Rating Deviation
94
80
Home Field Advantage
-6
UEL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-07
Anji
0-0
Newcastle United
Rating
6.1
22'
-6
1819 -> 1813
94
Player Rating Deviation
83
Home Field Advantage
15
Darijo Srna
DEF
+70
1812
Rating Deviation:
92
/
Settled
100
120
200
+8
UCL
·
Matchday 4
2012-11-07
Chelsea
3-2
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rating
7.2
90'
1 A
+8
1788 -> 1796
Player Rating Deviation
101
92
Home Field Advantage
+3
UCL
·
Matchday 5
2012-11-20
Nordsjælland
2-5
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rating
7.6
90'
1 A
+3
1796 -> 1799
Player Rating Deviation
99
74
Home Field Advantage
-7
UCL
·
Matchday 6
2012-12-05
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
Juventus
Rating
6.8
90'
-7
1799 -> 1792
96
Player Rating Deviation
90
Home Field Advantage
+26
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-02-13
Shakhtar Donetsk
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Rating
7.9
90'
1 G
+26
1792 -> 1818
94
Player Rating Deviation
88
Home Field Advantage
-6
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-05
Borussia Dortmund
3-0
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rating
6.7
90'
-6
1818 -> 1812
Player Rating Deviation
92
96
Home Field Advantage
16
JT
Jérémy Toulalan
—
+36
1807
Rating Deviation:
71
/
Settled
100
120
200
-9
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 25
2013-02-24
Real Betis
3-0
Málaga
Rating
6
47'
-9
1786 -> 1777
Player Rating Deviation
73
63
Home Field Advantage
+6
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 26
2013-03-03
Málaga
0-0
Atletico Madrid
Rating
7.3
90'
+6
1777 -> 1783
72
Player Rating Deviation
82
Home Field Advantage
+29
UCL
·
Round of 16
2013-03-13
Málaga
2-0
Porto
Rating
7.8
90'
+29
1783 -> 1812
71
Player Rating Deviation
82
Home Field Advantage
-10
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 28
2013-03-17
Málaga
0-2
Espanyol
Rating
6.7
68'
-10
1812 -> 1802
72
Player Rating Deviation
84
Home Field Advantage
+5
LA LIGA
·
Matchday 29
2013-03-30
Rayo Vallecano
1-3
Málaga
Rating
7.7
90'
+5
1802 -> 1807
Player Rating Deviation
71
78
Home Field Advantage
17
D
Diego
FWD
+83
1804
Rating Deviation:
70
/
Settled
100
120
200
+6
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 22
2013-02-15
Wolfsburg
0-2
Bayern Munich
Rating
7
90'
+6
1793 -> 1799
71
Player Rating Deviation
97
Home Field Advantage
-6
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 23
2013-02-23
Mainz
1-1
Wolfsburg
Rating
6.8
90'
-6
1799 -> 1793
Player Rating Deviation
70
75
Home Field Advantage
+4
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 24
2013-03-02
Wolfsburg
1-4
Schalke 04
Rating
7.7
90'
+4
1793 -> 1797
70
Player Rating Deviation
96
Home Field Advantage
+3
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 25
2013-03-09
Freiburg
2-5
Wolfsburg
Rating
7.3
90'
1 G
+3
1797 -> 1800
Player Rating Deviation
70
77
Home Field Advantage
+4
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-31
Wolfsburg
2-2
Nürnberg
Rating
8.1
90'
1 G
+4
1800 -> 1804
70
Player Rating Deviation
94
Home Field Advantage
18
HC
Hugo Campagnaro
DEF
+17
1804
Rating Deviation:
71
/
Settled
100
120
200
0
SERIE A
·
Matchday 25
2013-02-17
Napoli
0-0
Sampdoria
Rating
8
90'
0
1806 -> 1806
72
Player Rating Deviation
98
Home Field Advantage
+5
SERIE A
·
Matchday 26
2013-02-25
Udinese
0-0
Napoli
Rating
8.1
90'
+5
1806 -> 1811
Player Rating Deviation
72
81
Home Field Advantage
+9
SERIE A
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-01
Napoli
1-1
Juventus
Rating
7.4
90'
+9
1811 -> 1820
71
Player Rating Deviation
97
Home Field Advantage
-11
SERIE A
·
Matchday 28
2013-03-10
Chievo
2-0
Napoli
Rating
7
90'
-11
1820 -> 1809
Player Rating Deviation
71
66
Home Field Advantage
-5
SERIE A
·
Matchday 29
2013-03-17
Napoli
3-2
Atalanta
Rating
7.2
90'
-5
1809 -> 1804
71
Player Rating Deviation
97
Home Field Advantage
19
LB
Lars Bender
—
+85
1803
Rating Deviation:
69
/
Settled
100
120
200
-4
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 23
2013-02-24
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0-0
Leverkusen
Rating
7.3
69'
-4
1804 -> 1800
Player Rating Deviation
70
50
Home Field Advantage
+7
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 24
2013-03-02
Leverkusen
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
Rating
8.4
90'
1 G
+7
1800 -> 1807
70
Player Rating Deviation
78
Home Field Advantage
-9
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 25
2013-03-09
Mainz
1-0
Leverkusen
Rating
6.8
90'
-9
1807 -> 1798
Player Rating Deviation
69
75
Home Field Advantage
+2
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 26
2013-03-16
Leverkusen
1-2
Bayern Munich
Rating
6.8
90'
+2
1798 -> 1800
69
Player Rating Deviation
78
Home Field Advantage
+3
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-30
Düsseldorf
1-4
Leverkusen
Rating
7.9
90'
+3
1800 -> 1803
Player Rating Deviation
69
76
Home Field Advantage
20
SK
Stefan Kiessling
—
+88
1801
Rating Deviation:
69
/
Settled
100
120
200
-14
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 23
2013-02-24
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0-0
Leverkusen
Rating
6.6
90'
-14
1796 -> 1782
Player Rating Deviation
69
50
Home Field Advantage
+7
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 24
2013-03-02
Leverkusen
2-1
VfB Stuttgart
Rating
8.5
90'
1 G
+7
1782 -> 1789
69
Player Rating Deviation
78
Home Field Advantage
-3
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 25
2013-03-09
Mainz
1-0
Leverkusen
Rating
7.2
90'
-3
1789 -> 1786
Player Rating Deviation
69
75
Home Field Advantage
+9
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 26
2013-03-16
Leverkusen
1-2
Bayern Munich
Rating
7.4
90'
+9
1786 -> 1795
69
Player Rating Deviation
78
Home Field Advantage
+6
BUNDESLIGA
·
Matchday 27
2013-03-30
Düsseldorf
1-4
Leverkusen
Rating
9.8
90'
2 G
1 A
+6
1795 -> 1801
Player Rating Deviation
69
76
Home Field Advantage
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