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模拟赛季

在 200 个模拟赛季中,Tottenham Hotspurs 有 36% 夺得欧足联欧洲协会联赛冠军。

团体 A

各俱乐部晋级各阶段的概率
#俱乐部Δ ELOELO赛胜平负进失净分平均排名前8前24平均对手ELO状态能走多远
1
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
+61,6271,63363.41.31.310.95.7+5.211.51.784.5%84.5%1,496
14%21%
1%
2
LASK Linz
LASK Linz
+21,5621,56462.71.41.98.97.5+1.49.42.165.5%65.5%1,517
14%
0%
3
HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
−51,4731,46861.71.52.879.7−2.86.53.029.0%29.0%1,547
0%
4
Alashkert
Alashkert
−51,4521,44761.51.43.16.310.1−3.85.83.221.0%21.0%1,554
0%

团体 B

各俱乐部晋级各阶段的概率
#俱乐部Δ ELOELO赛胜平负进失净分平均排名前8前24平均对手ELO状态能走多远
1
Partizan
Partizan
+11,6481,64963.91.20.912.45.3+7.112.81.592.0%92.0%1,457
15%23%
2%
2
Gent
Gent
01,5371,53762.61.4297.5+1.59.12.363.5%63.5%1,494
11%
0%
3
Anorthosis
Anorthosis
+31,4541,45761.81.32.87.39.4−2.26.92.831.5%31.5%1,522
0%
4
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
−41,3801,37661.21.23.75.712.1−6.44.73.413.0%13.0%1,546
0%

团体 C

各俱乐部晋级各阶段的概率
#俱乐部Δ ELOELO赛胜平负进失净分平均排名前8前24平均对手ELO状态能走多远
1
Roma
Roma
+41,8551,85964.41.10.514.74.3+10.414.31.297.5%97.5%1,581
30%22%13%15%
30%
2
Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt
−21,6121,610621.42.67.69.5−1.97.42.745.5%45.5%1,662
11%
0%
3
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
−21,5821,58061.71.42.96.710−3.36.42.933.5%33.5%1,672
1%
4
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
+11,5491,55061.31.53.3611.2−5.25.33.223.5%23.5%1,683
0%

团体 D

各俱乐部晋级各阶段的概率
#俱乐部Δ ELOELO赛胜平负进失净分平均排名前8前24平均对手ELO状态能走多远
1
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
+31,6971,70063.61.21.211.55.7+5.811.91.689.0%89.0%1,552
14%22%
4%
2
CFR Cluj
CFR Cluj
+31,6431,64662.81.51.79.57+2.59.92.168.0%68.0%1,570
21%
1%
3
Jablonec
Jablonec
−71,5411,53461.71.42.96.89.7−2.96.53.027.5%27.5%1,604
0%
4
Randers
Randers
+21,4711,47361.21.43.45.711.1−5.453.315.5%15.5%1,627
0%

团体 E

各俱乐部晋级各阶段的概率
#俱乐部Δ ELOELO赛胜平负进失净分平均排名前8前24平均对手ELO状态能走多远
1
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
−21,7731,77163.21.41.510.66.4+4.110.81.879.5%79.5%1,666
11%16%20%
9%
2
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
+21,7531,755631.41.69.96.8+3.110.42.072.0%72.0%1,673
11%15%16%
8%
3
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
−51,6351,63061.61.336.69.6−3.16.23.124.5%24.5%1,712
1%
4
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Haifa
+51,6101,61561.51.43.16.410.6−4.25.93.124.0%24.0%1,720
0%

团体 F

各俱乐部晋级各阶段的概率
#俱乐部Δ ELOELO赛胜平负进失净分平均排名前8前24平均对手ELO状态能走多远
1
Copenhagen
Copenhagen
+41,6631,66763.21.51.410.56.2+4.3111.879.0%79.0%1,548
10%21%
3%
2
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
−11,6281,62762.71.51.89.26.7+2.59.72.164.0%64.0%1,560
17%
0%
3
PAOK
PAOK
−11,5911,59062.41.42.18.37.6+0.78.82.450.0%50.0%1,572
12%
1%
4
Lincoln Red Imps
Lincoln Red Imps
−31,4251,42260.91.23.9512.5−7.53.83.77.0%7.0%1,627
0%

团体 G

各俱乐部晋级各阶段的概率
#俱乐部Δ ELOELO赛胜平负进失净分平均排名前8前24平均对手ELO状态能走多远
1
Tottenham Hotspurs
Tottenham Hotspurs
+41,8741,87864.80.70.516.43.7+12.7151.197.5%97.5%1,554
36%15%18%22%
36%
2
Rennes
Rennes
01,6331,63362.31.32.48.68.5+0.28.32.459.5%59.5%1,634
23%
2%
3
Vitesse
Vitesse
−51,5851,58061.81.32.97.310.6−3.36.82.931.0%31.0%1,650
11%
0%
4
Mura
Mura
+11,4431,44460.914.14.814.4−9.63.83.512.0%12.0%1,697
0%

团体 H

各俱乐部晋级各阶段的概率
#俱乐部Δ ELOELO赛胜平负进失净分平均排名前8前24平均对手ELO状态能走多远
1
Basel
Basel
+41,6641,66863.21.31.510.56.2+4.2111.781.0%81.0%1,563
16%30%
4%
2
Omonoia
Omonoia
−11,5861,58562.21.52.37.88.4−0.68.12.648.0%48.0%1,589
20%
1%
3
Qarabağ
Qarabağ
−31,5751,572621.42.57.78.7−1.17.62.738.0%38.0%1,593
12%
0%
4
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
−11,5291,52861.71.52.86.79.2−2.56.53.033.0%33.0%1,608
16%
0%

一次淘汰赛模拟

上方模拟中的单个样本;在这一次中,Roma 捧起了奖杯。

16强
-5 Basel2-2Gent +5
-8 Gent0-2AETBasel +8
8强
+8 Basel1-1Roma -8
+8 Roma2-0Basel -7
4强
决赛

最终排名概率

每个单元格表示俱乐部以该排名结束联赛阶段的概率。

排名
俱乐部
1234
Tottenham Hotspurs
Tottenham Hotspurs
90% 8% 3%
Roma
Roma
88% 10% 2% 1%
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
44% 36% 14% 6%
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
38% 35% 20% 9%
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
53% 37% 9% 2%
Basel
Basel
54% 27% 11% 9%
Copenhagen
Copenhagen
50% 30% 17% 4%
Rennes
Rennes
7% 53% 30% 11%
Partizan
Partizan
65% 28% 7% 2%
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
54% 31% 13% 3%
CFR Cluj
CFR Cluj
36% 33% 22% 11%
Omonoia
Omonoia
17% 31% 26% 26%
PAOK
PAOK
20% 31% 37% 13%
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
3% 31% 36% 31%
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
9% 16% 36% 40%
Qarabağ
Qarabağ
19% 20% 37% 26%
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
29% 35% 29% 7%
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Haifa
10% 14% 30% 46%
LASK Linz
LASK Linz
31% 35% 24% 11%
Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt
8% 38% 30% 25%
Gent
Gent
21% 43% 24% 13%
Vitesse
Vitesse
4% 27% 45% 24%
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
11% 23% 27% 40%
Jablonec
Jablonec
9% 19% 37% 36%
Anorthosis
Anorthosis
10% 22% 43% 26%
Alashkert
Alashkert
8% 14% 29% 50%
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
2% 22% 33% 44%
HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
8% 21% 35% 36%
Randers
Randers
3% 13% 33% 52%
Mura
Mura
12% 23% 66%
Lincoln Red Imps
Lincoln Red Imps
2% 5% 17% 76%
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
5% 9% 28% 60%