+29 Lille4-0Real Betis -29
-25 Real Betis1-2Lille +25
Simuler la saison
À partir du classement actuel, Arsenal remporte la Ligue des champions dans 37% de 200 saisons simulées.
| # | Club | Δ ELO | ELO | J | G | N | P | BP | BC | Diff | Pts | Place moy. | Top 8 | Top 24 | ELO adverse moy. | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Jusqu'où |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | 2,143 | 8 | 6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 21.7 | 5.1 | +16.6 | 19.5 | 3.5 | 95.5% | 100.0% | 1,831 | 37%16%20%15% | |||||||||
| 2 |  | 2,035 | 8 | 6.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 25.1 | 9.1 | +16 | 19.9 | 3.5 | 91.5% | 100.0% | 1,848 | 14%18%24%27% | |||||||||
| 3 |  | 1,967 | 8 | 6.1 | 0.9 | 1 | 20.8 | 9.6 | +11.2 | 19.3 | 4.2 | 90.5% | 100.0% | 1,820 | 13%41% | |||||||||
| 4 |  | 1,942 | 8 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 21.4 | 12 | +9.4 | 18.5 | 5.5 | 80.5% | 100.0% | 1,803 | 16%35% | |||||||||
| 5 |  | 1,960 | 8 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 20.7 | 8.4 | +12.3 | 17.6 | 6.1 | 76.0% | 100.0% | 1,846 | 11%20%33% | |||||||||
| 6 |  | 2,104 | 8 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 23 | 8.6 | +14.5 | 16.9 | 6.6 | 73.5% | 100.0% | 1,857 | 18%19%21%25% | |||||||||
| 7 |  | 2,028 | 8 | 5.1 | 0.9 | 2 | 18.7 | 9.8 | +8.9 | 16.1 | 8.5 | 60.5% | 98.5% | 1,867 | 24%32% | |||||||||
| 8 |  | 2,023 | 8 | 4.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 20.7 | 10.7 | +10 | 15.6 | 9.0 | 54.0% | 98.5% | 1,845 | 21%25% | |||||||||
| 9 |  | 1,793 | 8 | 4.6 | 1 | 2.4 | 13.4 | 12.6 | +0.8 | 14.8 | 11.5 | 33.0% | 99.5% | 1,858 | 16% | |||||||||
| 10 |  | 1,805 | 8 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 13.4 | 8.9 | +4.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 24.0% | 92.0% | 1,795 | 12% | |||||||||
| 11 |  | 1,910 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12.1 | 11.3 | +0.8 | 13 | 14.6 | 14.0% | 94.0% | 1,839 | 16% | |||||||||
| 12 |  | 1,839 | 8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 15.6 | 12.6 | +3 | 12.8 | 14.8 | 18.0% | 93.0% | 1,870 | 19% | |||||||||
| 13 |  | 1,900 | 8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 13.8 | 11.1 | +2.6 | 12.7 | 14.8 | 18.5% | 91.5% | 1,840 | 14% | |||||||||
| 14 |  | 1,818 | 8 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 16.5 | 12.7 | +3.8 | 12.1 | 15.5 | 14.5% | 94.0% | 1,850 | ||||||||||
| 15 |  | 1,947 | 8 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 14 | 11.2 | +2.8 | 12.3 | 15.9 | 15.0% | 88.0% | 1,790 | 15% | |||||||||
| 16 |  | 1,860 | 8 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 11.9 | 9.1 | +2.8 | 11.8 | 16.6 | 10.5% | 88.0% | 1,874 | 12% | |||||||||
| 17 |  | 1,974 | 8 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 12.7 | 11.8 | +0.8 | 11.1 | 18.0 | 6.5% | 82.0% | 1,834 | 13% | |||||||||
| 18 |  | 1,855 | 8 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 12.1 | 14.8 | −2.7 | 11.3 | 18.5 | 7.5% | 77.5% | 1,843 | ||||||||||
| 19 |  | 1,862 | 8 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 3 | 14.5 | 12.6 | +1.9 | 10.5 | 19.1 | 4.5% | 78.0% | 1,835 | ||||||||||
| 20 |  | 1,843 | 8 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 8.7 | 9.2 | −0.5 | 10.6 | 19.5 | 4.5% | 73.5% | 1,812 | ||||||||||
| 21 |  | 1,814 | 8 | 3.1 | 1 | 3.9 | 12.2 | 14.1 | −1.9 | 10.2 | 20.7 | 3.0% | 67.0% | 1,845 | ||||||||||
| 22 |  | 1,757 | 8 | 2.9 | 1 | 4.1 | 15 | 15.2 | −0.2 | 9.6 | 21.3 | 1.5% | 67.0% | 1,834 | ||||||||||
| 23 |  | 1,812 | 8 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 9.9 | 14.8 | −4.9 | 10 | 21.6 | 1.5% | 63.5% | 1,840 | ||||||||||
| 24 |  | 1,787 | 8 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 12.2 | 17.1 | −4.9 | 9.1 | 23.4 | 0.5% | 55.0% | 1,863 | ||||||||||
| 25 |  | 1,628 | 8 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 9.2 | 12.1 | −2.9 | 8.5 | 24.4 | 0.0% | 44.5% | 1,809 | ||||||||||
| 26 |  | 1,860 | 8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 9.5 | 12.5 | −3 | 7.7 | 25.6 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 1,802 | ||||||||||
| 27 |  | 1,745 | 8 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 8.9 | 16.8 | −7.9 | 8 | 25.7 | 0.0% | 41.5% | 1,792 | ||||||||||
| 28 |  | 1,673 | 8 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 4.6 | 9.5 | 16.5 | −7 | 7.9 | 25.9 | 0.5% | 37.0% | 1,846 | ||||||||||
| 29 |  | 1,725 | 8 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 11.5 | 16.4 | −4.9 | 7.5 | 26.2 | 0.5% | 34.5% | 1,827 | ||||||||||
| 30 |  | 1,791 | 8 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 8.3 | 15.9 | −7.5 | 7.8 | 26.2 | 0.0% | 35.0% | 1,862 | ||||||||||
| 31 |  | 1,624 | 8 | 2.2 | 1 | 4.8 | 11.1 | 18.7 | −7.6 | 7.5 | 26.8 | 0.0% | 33.0% | 1,815 | ||||||||||
| 32 |  | 1,702 | 8 | 1.8 | 1 | 5.2 | 7.3 | 18.1 | −10.8 | 6.4 | 29.1 | 0.0% | 16.0% | 1,828 | ||||||||||
| 33 |  | 1,805 | 8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 10.1 | 18.7 | −8.6 | 5.2 | 30.7 | 0.0% | 8.0% | 1,863 | ||||||||||
| 34 |  | 1,555 | 8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 5.9 | 6 | 21.2 | −15.2 | 5 | 32.0 | 0.0% | 4.0% | 1,881 | ||||||||||
| 35 |  | 1,700 | 8 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 5.7 | 7.5 | 20.7 | −13.2 | 3.4 | 33.6 | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1,864 | ||||||||||
| 36 |  | 1,552 | 8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 24 | −18.7 | 3.2 | 33.9 | 0.0% | 4.5% | 1,812 |
Une simulation de la phase finale
Un seul tirage parmi les simulations ci-dessus ; ici, Arsenal soulève le trophée.
Barrage
+31 Como3-0Club Brugge -31
-5 Club Brugge1-1Como +5
+9 LASK Linz3-3Lens -9
+10 Lens1-0LASK Linz -10
-32 Manchester United1-4Borussia Dortmund +33
-7 Borussia Dortmund0-0Manchester United +6
-23 Roma1-4Aston Villa +23
-11 Aston Villa1-1Roma +11
+19 Inter2-1Atletico Madrid -18
+26 Atletico Madrid5-2Inter -26
-32 Galatasaray1-3Villarreal +31
-7 Villarreal1-1Galatasaray +7
+33 Shakhtar Donetsk2-1Liverpool -32
+13 Liverpool2-0Shakhtar Donetsk -13
Huitièmes
-9 Lille0-5Arsenal +10
+5 Arsenal2-0Lille -4
-11 Como1-3Paris Saint-Germain +11
+8 Paris Saint-Germain6-0Como -8
+9 Liverpool1-1Barcelona -9
+10 Barcelona2-0Liverpool -9
-16 Villarreal1-2Real Madrid +16
+8 Real Madrid2-1Villarreal -7
+22 Aston Villa5-1PSV Eindhoven -23
+1 PSV Eindhoven0-0Aston Villa -1
+8 Atletico Madrid1-1Bayern Munich -9
+9 Bayern Munich2-1Atletico Madrid -8
+7 Lens1-1Manchester City -8
+12 Manchester City4-2Lens -12
-32 Borussia Dortmund0-1Feyenoord +32
-25 Feyenoord0-2Borussia Dortmund +25
Quarts
-11 Borussia Dortmund0-1Arsenal +11
+8 Arsenal3-0Borussia Dortmund -7
+33 Aston Villa1-0Paris Saint-Germain -35
+20 Paris Saint-Germain4-2Aston Villa -19
-33 Bayern Munich0-1Barcelona +32
+26 Barcelona6-0Bayern Munich -26
-5 Manchester City2-2Real Madrid +6
+22 Real Madrid1-0Manchester City -21
Demies
-23 Real Madrid0-3Arsenal +24
+12 Arsenal4-1Real Madrid -11
+19 Barcelona1-0Paris Saint-Germain -19
+2 Paris Saint-Germain1-1Barcelona -2
Finale
Probabilités de classement final
Chaque cellule indique la probabilité qu’un club termine la phase de ligue à cette place.