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Simula la temporada

Tottenham Hotspurs gana la Conference League en el 36% de 200 temporadas simuladas.

Grupo A

Probabilidad de cada club de llegar a cada fase
#ClubΔ ELOELOPJGEPGFGCDGPtsPos. mediaTop 8Top 24ELO rival medioFormaHasta dónde
1
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
+61,6271,63363.41.31.310.95.7+5.211.51.784.5%84.5%1,496
14%21%
1%
2
LASK Linz
LASK Linz
+21,5621,56462.71.41.98.97.5+1.49.42.165.5%65.5%1,517
14%
0%
3
HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
−51,4731,46861.71.52.879.7−2.86.53.029.0%29.0%1,547
0%
4
Alashkert
Alashkert
−51,4521,44761.51.43.16.310.1−3.85.83.221.0%21.0%1,554
0%

Grupo B

Probabilidad de cada club de llegar a cada fase
#ClubΔ ELOELOPJGEPGFGCDGPtsPos. mediaTop 8Top 24ELO rival medioFormaHasta dónde
1
Partizan
Partizan
+11,6481,64963.91.20.912.45.3+7.112.81.592.0%92.0%1,457
15%23%
2%
2
Gent
Gent
01,5371,53762.61.4297.5+1.59.12.363.5%63.5%1,494
11%
0%
3
Anorthosis
Anorthosis
+31,4541,45761.81.32.87.39.4−2.26.92.831.5%31.5%1,522
0%
4
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
−41,3801,37661.21.23.75.712.1−6.44.73.413.0%13.0%1,546
0%

Grupo C

Probabilidad de cada club de llegar a cada fase
#ClubΔ ELOELOPJGEPGFGCDGPtsPos. mediaTop 8Top 24ELO rival medioFormaHasta dónde
1
Roma
Roma
+41,8551,85964.41.10.514.74.3+10.414.31.297.5%97.5%1,581
30%22%13%15%
30%
2
Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt
−21,6121,610621.42.67.69.5−1.97.42.745.5%45.5%1,662
11%
0%
3
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
−21,5821,58061.71.42.96.710−3.36.42.933.5%33.5%1,672
1%
4
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
+11,5491,55061.31.53.3611.2−5.25.33.223.5%23.5%1,683
0%

Grupo D

Probabilidad de cada club de llegar a cada fase
#ClubΔ ELOELOPJGEPGFGCDGPtsPos. mediaTop 8Top 24ELO rival medioFormaHasta dónde
1
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
+31,6971,70063.61.21.211.55.7+5.811.91.689.0%89.0%1,552
14%22%
4%
2
CFR Cluj
CFR Cluj
+31,6431,64662.81.51.79.57+2.59.92.168.0%68.0%1,570
21%
1%
3
Jablonec
Jablonec
−71,5411,53461.71.42.96.89.7−2.96.53.027.5%27.5%1,604
0%
4
Randers
Randers
+21,4711,47361.21.43.45.711.1−5.453.315.5%15.5%1,627
0%

Grupo E

Probabilidad de cada club de llegar a cada fase
#ClubΔ ELOELOPJGEPGFGCDGPtsPos. mediaTop 8Top 24ELO rival medioFormaHasta dónde
1
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
−21,7731,77163.21.41.510.66.4+4.110.81.879.5%79.5%1,666
11%16%20%
9%
2
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
+21,7531,755631.41.69.96.8+3.110.42.072.0%72.0%1,673
11%15%16%
8%
3
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
−51,6351,63061.61.336.69.6−3.16.23.124.5%24.5%1,712
1%
4
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Haifa
+51,6101,61561.51.43.16.410.6−4.25.93.124.0%24.0%1,720
0%

Grupo F

Probabilidad de cada club de llegar a cada fase
#ClubΔ ELOELOPJGEPGFGCDGPtsPos. mediaTop 8Top 24ELO rival medioFormaHasta dónde
1
Copenhagen
Copenhagen
+41,6631,66763.21.51.410.56.2+4.3111.879.0%79.0%1,548
10%21%
3%
2
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
−11,6281,62762.71.51.89.26.7+2.59.72.164.0%64.0%1,560
17%
0%
3
PAOK
PAOK
−11,5911,59062.41.42.18.37.6+0.78.82.450.0%50.0%1,572
12%
1%
4
Lincoln Red Imps
Lincoln Red Imps
−31,4251,42260.91.23.9512.5−7.53.83.77.0%7.0%1,627
0%

Grupo G

Probabilidad de cada club de llegar a cada fase
#ClubΔ ELOELOPJGEPGFGCDGPtsPos. mediaTop 8Top 24ELO rival medioFormaHasta dónde
1
Tottenham Hotspurs
Tottenham Hotspurs
+41,8741,87864.80.70.516.43.7+12.7151.197.5%97.5%1,554
36%15%18%22%
36%
2
Rennes
Rennes
01,6331,63362.31.32.48.68.5+0.28.32.459.5%59.5%1,634
23%
2%
3
Vitesse
Vitesse
−51,5851,58061.81.32.97.310.6−3.36.82.931.0%31.0%1,650
11%
0%
4
Mura
Mura
+11,4431,44460.914.14.814.4−9.63.83.512.0%12.0%1,697
0%

Grupo H

Probabilidad de cada club de llegar a cada fase
#ClubΔ ELOELOPJGEPGFGCDGPtsPos. mediaTop 8Top 24ELO rival medioFormaHasta dónde
1
Basel
Basel
+41,6641,66863.21.31.510.56.2+4.2111.781.0%81.0%1,563
16%30%
4%
2
Omonoia
Omonoia
−11,5861,58562.21.52.37.88.4−0.68.12.648.0%48.0%1,589
20%
1%
3
Qarabağ
Qarabağ
−31,5751,572621.42.57.78.7−1.17.62.738.0%38.0%1,593
12%
0%
4
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
−11,5291,52861.71.52.86.79.2−2.56.53.033.0%33.0%1,608
16%
0%

Una simulación de las eliminatorias

Una sola muestra de las simulaciones de arriba; en esta, Roma levanta el trofeo.

Octavos
-5 Basel2-2Gent +5
-8 Gent0-2AETBasel +8
Cuartos
+8 Basel1-1Roma -8
+8 Roma2-0Basel -7
Semis
Final

Probabilidades de posición final

Cada celda muestra la probabilidad de que un club termine la fase de liga en esa posición.

Posición
Club
1234
Tottenham Hotspurs
Tottenham Hotspurs
90% 8% 3%
Roma
Roma
88% 10% 2% 1%
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
44% 36% 14% 6%
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
38% 35% 20% 9%
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
53% 37% 9% 2%
Basel
Basel
54% 27% 11% 9%
Copenhagen
Copenhagen
50% 30% 17% 4%
Rennes
Rennes
7% 53% 30% 11%
Partizan
Partizan
65% 28% 7% 2%
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
Maccabi Tel-Aviv
54% 31% 13% 3%
CFR Cluj
CFR Cluj
36% 33% 22% 11%
Omonoia
Omonoia
17% 31% 26% 26%
PAOK
PAOK
20% 31% 37% 13%
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
3% 31% 36% 31%
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
9% 16% 36% 40%
Qarabağ
Qarabağ
19% 20% 37% 26%
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
29% 35% 29% 7%
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Haifa
10% 14% 30% 46%
LASK Linz
LASK Linz
31% 35% 24% 11%
Bodø/Glimt
Bodø/Glimt
8% 38% 30% 25%
Gent
Gent
21% 43% 24% 13%
Vitesse
Vitesse
4% 27% 45% 24%
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
11% 23% 27% 40%
Jablonec
Jablonec
9% 19% 37% 36%
Anorthosis
Anorthosis
10% 22% 43% 26%
Alashkert
Alashkert
8% 14% 29% 50%
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
2% 22% 33% 44%
HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
8% 21% 35% 36%
Randers
Randers
3% 13% 33% 52%
Mura
Mura
12% 23% 66%
Lincoln Red Imps
Lincoln Red Imps
2% 5% 17% 76%
Flora Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
5% 9% 28% 60%